AZ Alkmaar vs HHC Hardenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 3
AZA
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
AZA
3 - 1
BVO
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AZA
4 - 2
FEY
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
RJC
0 - 1
AZA
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
BRU
2 - 2
AZA
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HHC
3 - 1
RVV
81%
14%
6%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HHC
2 - 0
IJS
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GVV
4 - 1
HHC
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HHC
4 - 1
KOZ
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
HHC
2 - 0
NEC
16%
20%
64%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |