AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
AZA
40%
24%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
RJC
1 - 1
AZA
19%
23%
58%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BJK
1 - 4
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 2
AJA
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
MTA
0 - 0
AZA
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
GAE
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
HER
2 - 2
SPA
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
HER
5 - 0
UNA
91%
7%
2%
|
71 | 21 | 50 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |