AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
NAC
0 - 3
AZA
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
EXC
1 - 5
AZA
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
AZA
2 - 1
SPA
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
ADO
1 - 0
AZA
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
GAE
2 - 1
HFC
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 5
GAE
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
GAE
3 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
GAE
4 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
AJA
2 - 1
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |