AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
AZA
26%
24%
50%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
AZA
0 - 4
FEY
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AZA
0 - 2
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
MVV
2 - 3
AZA
14%
18%
68%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 2
AZA
24%
23%
52%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
UTR
3 - 1
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
UTR
40%
25%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
UTR
1 - 7
PSV
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
AJA
0 - 6
UTR
5%
14%
81%
|
79 | 37 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TWE
4 - 0
UTR
21%
25%
55%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |