AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2006 |
WIL
0 - 4
AZA
21%
23%
57%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 3
PSV
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2006 |
AZA
3 - 0
SPB
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 2
AZA
21%
22%
57%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 2
ADO
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
UTR
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
UTR
2 - 0
ADO
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
UTR
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
UTR
2 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
UTR
1 - 0
SCH
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |