AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1999 |
AZA
1 - 2
RJC
41%
26%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
RKC
1 - 2
AZA
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
FOR
1 - 2
AZA
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
AZA
4 - 2
MVV
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
PSV
7 - 1
AZA
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
3 - 0
UTR
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
UTR
1 - 0
TWE
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
UTR
1 - 0
NEC
58%
22%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
UTR
2 - 3
PSV
18%
20%
62%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
RJC
3 - 0
UTR
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |