Q. Europa League 4th Round Final
Global 3-2
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Aktobe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
AZA
1 - 1
GRO
58%
22%
19%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
AZA
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
GÖT
1 - 0
AZA
38%
26%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
AZA
2 - 0
GÖT
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
AZA
2 - 1
AND
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ATY
2 - 1
FCA
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
HAP
3 - 1
FCA
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 1
TAR
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 0
HAP
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
FCI
2 - 1
FCA
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |