AZ Alkmaar vs Achilles 29 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ZWO
0 - 2
AZA
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 1
AZA
34%
25%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AZA
3 - 1
BVO
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 1
AZA
22%
24%
55%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
AZA
1 - 1
PAO
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
ACH
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ACH
1 - 5
WIL
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ACH
3 - 2
PSV
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BOS
0 - 2
ACH
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
ACH
5 - 1
HSC
63%
20%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |