Jong AZ vs Cambuur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
RJC
6 - 2
ALK
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
ALK
0 - 1
FCD
61%
20%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
JUT
1 - 3
ALK
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
ALK
1 - 2
EIN
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
SPA
5 - 0
ALK
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cambuur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
BVO
1 - 1
GAE
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
HEL
0 - 1
BVO
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BVO
3 - 3
SPA
37%
26%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
BVO
0 - 2
KVM
17%
20%
63%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MVV
1 - 2
BVO
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |