Eerste Divisie . Jor. 18

Jong AZ vs Den Bosch analysis

Jong AZ Den Bosch
60 ELO 50
9.2% Tilt 9.9%
1764º General ELO ranking 3225º
33º Country ELO ranking 57º
ELO win probability
70.1%
Jong AZ
18.2%
Draw
11.7%
Den Bosch

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
Jong AZ
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.7%
Win probability
Den Bosch
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jong AZ
-2%
+21%
Den Bosch

Points and table prediction

Jong AZ
Their league position
Den Bosch
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
13º
10º
33
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Willem II
79
79
100%
Groningen
75
75
100%
Roda JC
75
75
100%
Dordrecht
69
69
100%
ADO Den Haag
63
63
0%
De Graafschap
63
63
0%
Emmen
57
57
100%
NAC Breda
56
56
0%
MVV Maastricht
56
56
100%
Jong AZ
10º
56
56
10º
0%
Helmond Sport
11º
51
51
11º
100%
VVV Venlo
12º
48
48
12º
100%
Cambuur
13º
47
47
13º
100%
FC Eindhoven
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Jong Ajax
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Jong PSV
16º
40
40
16º
100%
SC Telstar
17º
35
35
17º
100%
TOP Oss
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Den Bosch
19º
33
33
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jong AZ
Den Bosch
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Jong AZ
Den Bosch
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jong AZ
Jong AZ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2023
MVV
MVV Maastricht
4 - 0
Jong AZ
ALK
32%
26%
42%
61 56 5 0
27 Nov. 2023
ALK
Jong AZ
0 - 5
Groningen
GRO
41%
25%
34%
62 64 2 -1
24 Nov. 2023
PSV
Jong PSV
1 - 2
Jong AZ
ALK
37%
25%
38%
62 58 4 0
10 Nov. 2023
ALK
Jong AZ
2 - 1
Helmond Sport
HEL
53%
24%
23%
61 58 3 +1
03 Nov. 2023
VVV
VVV Venlo
2 - 2
Jong AZ
ALK
46%
25%
29%
61 62 1 0

Matches

Den Bosch
Den Bosch
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2023
BOS
Den Bosch
3 - 3
Jong Ajax
JON
13%
18%
69%
49 62 13 0
24 Nov. 2023
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 0
Den Bosch
BOS
74%
18%
9%
49 68 19 0
17 Nov. 2023
BOS
Den Bosch
1 - 4
SC Telstar
TEL
38%
26%
36%
50 55 5 -1
10 Nov. 2023
FCE
Emmen
1 - 0
Den Bosch
BOS
75%
17%
9%
50 69 19 0
04 Nov. 2023
BOS
Den Bosch
1 - 1
Jong Utrecht
JUT
45%
24%
31%
50 50 0 0
X