Aywaille vs Acren Lessines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
14º
12º
54
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 52 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 50 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 44 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aywaille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VER
1 - 2
AYW
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AYW
1 - 4
EYN
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VER
0 - 1
AYW
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
AYW
0 - 1
ONH
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RWD
5 - 0
AYW
88%
10%
3%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Acren Lessines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ACR
2 - 1
OST
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ENT
1 - 2
ACR
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACR
0 - 2
LAC
54%
21%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RUH
0 - 3
ACR
8%
12%
81%
|
48 | 13 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ACR
1 - 1
GAN
42%
23%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |