Ayrón vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayrón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
MER
0 - 1
AYR
34%
26%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
AYR
0 - 2
ARE
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 2
AYR
35%
25%
41%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
AYR
4 - 1
RIN
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
AYR
2 - 0
GIM
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
REV
1 - 0
GIM
55%
24%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 0
REV
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
REV
1 - 0
GAM
31%
24%
46%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 1
REV
53%
24%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
REV
3 - 1
COM
39%
26%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |