Ayr United vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1939 |
AYR
2 - 3
STM
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
ARB
3 - 0
AYR
41%
22%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
AYR
3 - 0
FAL
41%
21%
38%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
STJ
0 - 1
AYR
63%
17%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
AYR
6 - 1
MHE
36%
22%
41%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
TLA
2 - 0
HIB
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
CLY
4 - 1
TLA
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
PAR
4 - 1
TLA
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
TLA
3 - 1
MHE
38%
22%
40%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
FAL
4 - 0
TLA
65%
17%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |