Ayr United vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
QOS
2 - 0
AYR
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
AYR
1 - 2
BRE
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 4
AYR
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
AYR
1 - 2
STE
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 1
FOR
56%
22%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
STR
3 - 2
ALB
74%
16%
11%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
STR
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
STR
1 - 1
STE
42%
23%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
STR
2 - 0
ARB
39%
23%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
STR
0 - 5
QOS
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |