Ayr United vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
AYR
2 - 1
CLY
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
ARB
3 - 2
AYR
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
AYR
4 - 2
STM
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
PAR
2 - 1
AYR
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
STR
3 - 2
AYR
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
STR
2 - 0
FOR
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
HAM
0 - 1
STR
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
STR
0 - 2
BER
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
ALL
4 - 3
STR
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
STR
2 - 2
QOS
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |