Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 2
AYR
12%
17%
71%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
AYR
3 - 1
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 0
AYR
18%
20%
63%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AYR
2 - 0
ALB
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALL
2 - 1
AYR
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
STE
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
STE
4 - 0
ALB
61%
21%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
STE
0 - 2
PAR
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
STE
1 - 3
HAM
28%
24%
49%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PET
1 - 0
STE
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |