Ayr United vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
CEL
2 - 0
AYR
62%
21%
18%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1924 |
AYR
3 - 1
HAM
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1924 |
FAL
0 - 3
AYR
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 1924 |
AYR
0 - 1
PAR
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1924 |
AYR
1 - 0
DUN
24%
22%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
STM
0 - 1
STJ
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1924 |
GLA
3 - 1
STM
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1924 |
STM
4 - 1
MHE
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1924 |
ABE
2 - 3
STM
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1924 |
STM
3 - 0
RAI
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |