Ayr United vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 3
AYR
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
HOM
2 - 0
AYR
72%
17%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 0
AYR
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 2
AYR
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
AYR
0 - 1
ARB
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 1
ICT
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ICT
0 - 0
RAI
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 0
AYR
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
RAI
3 - 1
ALL
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 0
RAI
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |