Ayr United vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 4
AYR
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AYR
2 - 0
STR
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 5
AYR
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
AYR
2 - 2
AIR
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
AYR
3 - 0
EAS
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 0
RAI
27%
24%
48%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 0
EAS
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
RAI
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
RAI
2 - 0
ARB
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
STM
1 - 3
RAI
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |