Second Division Round 33

Ayr United vs Peterhead analysis

Ayr United Peterhead
44 ELO 55
9.1% Tilt 4.4%
806º General ELO ranking 3596º
14º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
29.4%
Ayr United
24.4%
Draw
46.2%
Peterhead

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.2%
Win probability
Peterhead
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ayr United
-5%
-12%
Peterhead

ELO progression

Ayr United
Peterhead
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2015
STR
Stranraer
1 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
77%
15%
8%
45 61 16 0
28 Mar. 2015
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
28%
26%
46%
44 56 12 +1
21 Mar. 2015
GRE
Greenock Morton
2 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
68%
20%
12%
45 58 13 -1
14 Mar. 2015
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 0
Stenhousemuir
STE
41%
24%
35%
45 49 4 0
10 Mar. 2015
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 1
Airdrieonians
AIR
33%
26%
41%
45 56 11 0

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2015
PET
Peterhead
1 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
48%
25%
27%
55 53 2 0
28 Mar. 2015
PET
Peterhead
1 - 2
Stranraer
STR
32%
27%
41%
55 60 5 0
24 Mar. 2015
BRE
Brechin City
2 - 2
Peterhead
PET
53%
23%
24%
55 56 1 0
21 Mar. 2015
STI
Stirling Albion
2 - 1
Peterhead
PET
25%
23%
52%
56 42 14 -1
14 Mar. 2015
PET
Peterhead
3 - 0
Brechin City
BRE
38%
27%
35%
54 58 4 +2