Ayr United vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 0
HIB
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 1
AYR
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
HIB
0 - 0
AYR
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
AYR
2 - 0
DUM
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
AYR
5 - 0
SUN
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
PET
1 - 6
STM
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
PET
3 - 0
LIV
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
STM
0 - 0
PET
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
PET
5 - 1
AIR
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
PET
0 - 5
BRE
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |