Second Division Round 3

Ayr United vs Peterhead analysis

Ayr United Peterhead
50 ELO 59
-7.2% Tilt -6.4%
816º General ELO ranking 3586º
14º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
30.2%
Ayr United
26.5%
Draw
43.3%
Peterhead

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.3%
Win probability
Peterhead
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ayr United
-7%
-5%
Peterhead

ELO progression

Ayr United
Peterhead
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2005
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 2
Ayr United
AYR
62%
22%
17%
49 54 5 0
06 Aug. 2005
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
38%
28%
35%
48 54 6 +1
30 Jul. 2005
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 1
Stirling Albion
STI
40%
25%
35%
50 56 6 -2
07 May. 2005
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
40%
27%
33%
50 55 5 0
30 Apr. 2005
BER
Berwick Rangers
2 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
53%
24%
23%
50 50 0 0

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2005
PET
Peterhead
1 - 1
Partick Thistle
PAR
56%
23%
21%
59 58 1 0
06 Aug. 2005
ALL
Alloa Athletic
4 - 1
Peterhead
PET
42%
24%
34%
61 54 7 -2
30 Jul. 2005
PET
Peterhead
1 - 2
Berwick Rangers
BER
71%
17%
12%
63 51 12 -2
07 May. 2005
THE
East Stirlingshire
1 - 5
Peterhead
PET
25%
25%
50%
63 33 30 0
30 Apr. 2005
PET
Peterhead
4 - 1
Montrose
MON
68%
20%
13%
62 49 13 +1