Ayr United vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
AYR
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
AYR
0 - 1
ALL
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
STI
1 - 0
AYR
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
AYR
1 - 1
GRE
30%
28%
43%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
RAI
1 - 1
AYR
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
PET
2 - 1
PAR
48%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PET
1 - 3
GRE
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 0
PET
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
PET
0 - 0
RAI
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
STI
2 - 1
PET
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |