Ayr United vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
AYR
1 - 1
HAM
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1993 |
AYR
0 - 6
MHE
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 1992 |
PAR
2 - 0
AYR
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1991 |
AYR
0 - 2
HIB
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1991 |
AYR
2 - 0
STJ
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
FAL
1 - 1
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1994 |
ABE
1 - 1
CEL
48%
28%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
CEL
1 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
GLA
1 - 1
CEL
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
CEL
1 - 1
STJ
65%
23%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |