Ayr United vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1930 |
LEI
1 - 1
AYR
60%
19%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1930 |
AYR
2 - 6
DUN
29%
23%
48%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1930 |
AIR
2 - 1
AYR
70%
17%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1930 |
AYR
1 - 1
HOM
25%
21%
54%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1930 |
PAR
5 - 1
AYR
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1930 |
CWB
1 - 1
CEL
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1930 |
CEL
2 - 1
HOM
55%
22%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1930 |
CEL
5 - 1
PAR
57%
21%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1930 |
MHE
3 - 3
CEL
62%
19%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1930 |
CEL
3 - 1
STM
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |