Ayr United vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
9º
7º
23
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 1
GRE
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 1
AYR
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 1
AIR
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 2
QUE
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 2
AYR
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ICT
2 - 1
ARB
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 2
AIR
18%
25%
58%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 3
DUN
23%
27%
50%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 1
PAR
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AIR
5 - 2
ARB
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |