Aylesbury vs Peterborough Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AYL
1 - 2
HER
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
AYL
1 - 2
KEM
12%
18%
70%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AYL
2 - 2
BAR
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AYL
0 - 1
KID
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AYL
0 - 0
BRO
7%
13%
79%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Peterborough Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
PET
2 - 4
CAM
44%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
PET
17%
19%
65%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PET
0 - 3
CHO
18%
20%
61%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -4 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BOS
0 - 2
PET
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
PET
0 - 0
DID
52%
20%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |