Aylesbury vs Dunstable Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 3
AYL
36%
22%
43%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AYL
0 - 3
HAT
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AYL
1 - 2
LON
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
HAT
2 - 3
AYL
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
AYL
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dunstable Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
RBF
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
MKI
5 - 1
DUN
81%
13%
7%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ARL
4 - 1
DUN
19%
22%
60%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
STA
2 - 2
DUN
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 1
BIG
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |