Aylesbury vs Ashford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
AYL
2 - 2
BUR
26%
23%
51%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BIG
1 - 1
AYL
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
AYL
0 - 2
RUG
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AYL
1 - 4
FLE
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 1
AYL
41%
24%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ashford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
ASH
2 - 1
AFH
56%
21%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ASH
1 - 3
GUI
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ASH
0 - 1
SLO
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GOD
3 - 3
ASH
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ASH
1 - 1
CHA
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |