Aylesbury United vs Welwyn Garden City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
YAX
3 - 7
AYL
42%
21%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AYL
1 - 2
AFD
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
AYL
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
AYL
0 - 0
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BRO
5 - 1
AYL
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Welwyn Garden City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WEL
0 - 1
BER
43%
22%
36%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
WEL
0 - 1
CAM
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 0
WEL
77%
13%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
WEL
3 - 2
YAX
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BED
0 - 1
WEL
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |