Aylesbury United vs Tiverton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
AYL
1 - 2
TBA
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
GLO
1 - 1
AYL
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
AYL
1 - 1
MAN
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
AYL
1 - 0
CIR
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2005 |
AYL
1 - 0
CHE
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tiverton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
TIV
6 - 2
HIT
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
CHE
3 - 3
TIV
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
TIV
3 - 1
GRA
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
TIV
3 - 2
YAT
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
TIV
1 - 1
CHE
69%
18%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |