Aylesbury United vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SLO
5 - 3
AYL
76%
15%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
AYL
3 - 1
AYL
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
AYL
1 - 1
LEI
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
AYL
1 - 0
CHA
53%
23%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 4
AYL
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
STI
1 - 4
BEA
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
BEA
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BEA
1 - 1
CHA
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
RUG
0 - 1
BEA
57%
22%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BEA
1 - 0
DAV
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |