AYL vs New Radiant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AYL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2009 |
AYL
0 - 0
THO
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
AYL
0 - 1
MAZ
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
CVA
3 - 1
AYL
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 2
AYL
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
VSC
0 - 0
AYL
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
New Radiant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2009 |
VSC
4 - 2
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CVA
1 - 1
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
VBA
2 - 0
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 2
AYL
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 0
THO
62%
20%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |