Ethiopia League Round 9

Ayer Hayl vs Mechal analysis

Ayer Hayl Mechal
54 ELO 56
-4.4% Tilt -3.7%
31414º General ELO ranking 4581º
28º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.6%
Ayer Hayl
25.1%
Draw
28.2%
Mechal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
Ayer Hayl
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.2%
Win probability
Mechal
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ayer Hayl
Mechal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ayer Hayl
Ayer Hayl
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2012
MEH
Ethio Electric
4 - 0
Ayer Hayl
AYE
50%
25%
25%
55 55 0 0
01 Jan. 2012
ADK
Adama Ketema
0 - 0
Ayer Hayl
AYE
49%
25%
26%
55 55 0 0
25 Dec. 2011
AYE
Ayer Hayl
0 - 0
Muger Cemento
MUC
50%
25%
25%
55 55 0 0
20 Dec. 2011
HAR
Harar Birra
1 - 1
Ayer Hayl
AYE
46%
26%
28%
55 55 0 0
13 Dec. 2011
AYE
Ayer Hayl
0 - 1
Dedebit
DED
50%
25%
25%
55 55 0 0

Matches

Mechal
Mechal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jan. 2012
MAK
Mechal
0 - 1
Hawasa Ketema
AWK
51%
24%
25%
55 55 0 0
08 Jan. 2012
AMK
Arba Minch Kenema
3 - 1
Mechal
MAK
48%
25%
27%
55 55 0 0
01 Jan. 2012
MAK
Mechal
2 - 4
Ethiopia Bunna
ETB
50%
24%
25%
55 55 0 0
25 Dec. 2011
DIR
Dire Dawa Kenema
2 - 2
Mechal
MAK
45%
26%
29%
55 55 0 0
17 Dec. 2011
MAK
Mechal
2 - 1
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
ENB
52%
25%
24%
55 55 0 0