Ayamonte vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
AGU
3 - 2
AYA
70%
20%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
AYA
1 - 0
REC
44%
27%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
SFE
0 - 1
AYA
63%
22%
15%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
AYA
0 - 1
DHE
25%
27%
48%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
BAR
3 - 2
AYA
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 0
ATC
69%
20%
11%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
VVA
1 - 0
LUC
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
BOL
2 - 2
LUC
24%
25%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
LUC
0 - 1
JER
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |