AWC vs Unitas 30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
16º
9º
36
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VEN
4 - 1
AWC
51%
20%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AWC
2 - 3
SIL
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RKZ
1 - 3
AWC
18%
19%
63%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AWC
0 - 1
MEE
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HVC
1 - 3
AWC
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Unitas 30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
EVV
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MOE
1 - 3
UNI
27%
21%
52%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HVC
4 - 1
UNI
53%
20%
27%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
HOO
38%
21%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 2
ORI
32%
22%
46%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |