AWC vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
UDI
8 - 1
AWC
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AWC
0 - 1
GRO
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
OSS
3 - 1
AWC
69%
18%
12%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DEV
3 - 1
AWC
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AWC
0 - 3
BLA
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GEM
3 - 1
DEV
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
OSS
1 - 2
GEM
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GEM
3 - 0
DOS
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SCH
3 - 3
GEM
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GEM
2 - 1
BAR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |