AVW '66 vs Horst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AVW '66
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ASV
3 - 1
AVW
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
AVW
1 - 1
BEQ
10%
17%
73%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BEN
5 - 1
AVW
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
AVW
0 - 1
ZWA
30%
24%
46%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SDV
6 - 1
AVW
82%
13%
5%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Horst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
VVO
2 - 0
HOR
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 2
DZC
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
GOA
3 - 1
HOR
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 1
DOS
24%
23%
53%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 0
ASV
16%
20%
64%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +3 |