AVW '66 vs FC Zutphen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AVW '66
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AVW
0 - 3
DOS
19%
22%
59%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
WVF
1 - 0
AVW
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DZC
0 - 0
AVW
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AVW
1 - 2
GOA
21%
23%
57%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AVW
2 - 0
DZC
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Zutphen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FCZ
3 - 1
GOA
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FCZ
0 - 2
WVF
62%
21%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
VVO
3 - 0
FCZ
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GOA
2 - 0
FCZ
49%
23%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FCZ
2 - 1
HOR
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |