Avro vs Padiham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
OLD
8%
13%
80%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 1
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 2
BOO
10%
16%
74%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AFC
3 - 4
LIT
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
CUR
36%
23%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
PAD
4 - 2
RAM
12%
17%
71%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 6
CHE
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 0
PAD
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAD
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 1
MAR
19%
20%
62%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |