Avrig vs CSM Lugoj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avrig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CRI
3 - 1
AVR
71%
16%
14%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AVR
2 - 0
GLT
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
IGA
0 - 1
AVR
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
AVR
0 - 1
FCU
35%
22%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SEL
0 - 2
AVR
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
CSM Lugoj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
SIR
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 0
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -3 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
MET
3 - 0
LUG
42%
25%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
ACS
0 - 0
LUG
21%
19%
60%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCU
65%
19%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |