Avranches vs V.Châtillon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
TRE
3 - 1
AVR
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
AVR
24%
26%
51%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AVR
0 - 2
LES
46%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GDB
0 - 0
AVR
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AVR
3 - 0
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
V.Châtillon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VCH
1 - 2
CHE
39%
25%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FON
3 - 0
VCH
47%
25%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
TRE
3 - 0
VCH
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
VCH
1 - 3
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
VCH
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |