Avranches vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
AVR
1 - 3
ANN
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
AVR
3 - 1
CHO
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
ORL
3 - 1
AVR
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
LYO
0 - 0
AVR
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
AVR
2 - 1
STA
60%
22%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
QUE
3 - 1
ORL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
LUS
1 - 3
QUE
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
QUE
2 - 0
SÈT
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
QUE
0 - 0
STL
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
QUE
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |