Avranches vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VCH
1 - 1
AVR
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AVR
1 - 0
TRE
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
AVR
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AVR
2 - 1
SAI
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AVR
5 - 0
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PON
2 - 2
PLA
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FON
2 - 1
PLA
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PLA
2 - 0
VIT
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAI
1 - 0
PLA
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 1
NAN
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |