Avranches vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AVR
0 - 0
LPS
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 0
AVR
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 3
STP
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 3
FON
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LAV
1 - 1
AVR
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 0
LUC
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
LOR
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
VCH
0 - 1
LUC
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 2
LPS
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 1
MOU
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |