Avranches vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
NAN
3 - 4
AVR
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
AVR
3 - 0
ANG
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
AVR
2 - 0
USS
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LAT
2 - 2
AVR
18%
23%
59%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AVR
1 - 1
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
FLE
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CON
3 - 2
LOR
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
DIV
3 - 2
LOR
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
LAV
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BON
0 - 2
LOR
22%
25%
54%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | +1 |