Avranches vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
AVR
2 - 1
LUS
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
STL
3 - 0
AVR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
AVR
0 - 1
VIL
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
PAU
1 - 0
AVR
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
AVR
2 - 0
DUN
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 0
GAZ
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
GAZ
0 - 0
QUE
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 0
GAZ
19%
24%
58%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
STL
2 - 0
GAZ
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
GAZ
1 - 3
LYO
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |