Avranches vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AVR
3 - 0
CHE
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
AVR
2 - 0
PLA
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VCH
1 - 1
AVR
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AVR
1 - 0
TRE
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
AVR
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FON
1 - 0
PON
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FON
0 - 0
NAN
35%
27%
37%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
FON
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FON
2 - 1
PLA
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
VCH
2 - 0
FON
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |