Avranches vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 1
AVR
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AVR
0 - 3
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
AVR
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AVR
5 - 0
LEH
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LEM
0 - 2
AVR
32%
27%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CAE
4 - 1
SAU
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AVR
0 - 3
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 0
LAV
60%
23%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PON
3 - 0
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CAE
3 - 0
LES
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +3 |