Avranches U19 vs Nantes U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
11º
8º
58
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
AVR
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 1
LOR
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
AVR
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 3
AVR
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AVR
0 - 1
TOU
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAN
3 - 1
GUI
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BER
1 - 3
NAN
11%
16%
73%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 3
LAV
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SRS
1 - 2
NAN
10%
15%
75%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 0
REN
60%
20%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |